Ethereum Technical Analysis Report – 6th January 2026

Here is a technical analysis of ETH/USDT on a daily timeframe:

Chart Technical Analysis
Current Price: $3,220–$3,225 (ETH/USDT)

Trend Structure:
ETH is trading within a compression phase, where price is forming higher lows along an ascending trendline drawn from the 21st November low, while facing consistent rejection from a descending resistance trendline originating from the September–October highs. This structure resembles a tightening wedge, indicating a potential directional expansion ahead.

Despite the short-term recovery, the broader trend remains corrective, as price has not yet reclaimed higher timeframe resistance zones.

Moving Averages & Volume:
Price is currently testing the 20 and 50 EMA but remains below the 100 EMA and 200 EMA, reflecting ongoing bearish pressure at higher levels.

The 200 EMA near $3,350–$3,400 continues to act as a major overhead supply zone.

The recent upside move lacks strong conviction and requires confirmation through expansion.

Key Support & Resistance Levels:
Support Levels
S1: $3,000 – Confluence of a psychological level and the rising trendline from 21st Nov
S2: $2,800 – Major demand zone and November swing low

Resistance Levels
R1: $3,250–$3,300 – Descending trendline resistance + EMA cluster
R2: $3,350–$3,400 – 200 EMA and higher timeframe supply zone

A decisive close above R1 could expose R2, while a loss of S1 would invalidate the rising structure.

Probable Breakout / Breakdown Scenarios

Bullish Case: A sustained daily close above $3,300, accompanied by volume expansion, would confirm a breakout from the compression structure and open upside potential toward $3,350–$3,400.

Bearish Case: Failure to hold the ascending trendline from 21st November, followed by a breakdown below $3,000, could trigger a move back toward the $2,800 demand zone.

At the time of writing, ETH was trading at $3,220.

Summary: ETH is trading within a tightening structure, supported by a rising trendline from 21st November while facing rejection from long-term descending resistance. The short-term bias is improving, but price remains below major moving averages, keeping the broader trend corrective. A sustained breakout above the $3,300 zone could trigger further upside, while a breakdown below $3,000 would weaken the current structure and expose lower supports.

Key Levels:

  Support 2Support 1AssetResistance 1Resistance 2
$2,800$3000ETH$3,300$3,400

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